Tuesday 28 February 2017

Small deposit buyers on the rise

The latest data from residential chartered surveyors, e.surv, has revealed that first-time buyers and other borrowers with 15% deposit or smaller saw their share of the mortgage market rise to 18.7% in January 2017.

This is higher than last month – when these borrowers held 16.1% of the total market – and even further ahead of January 2016, when this figure was 14.5%.

The overall size of the mortgage market remained steady between December and January. A total of 67,430 house purchase loans (seasonally adjusted) were approved by lenders this month. This is fractionally down on the 67,505 approvals recorded in December but 7.7% lower than a year ago.

Richard Sexton, Director of e.surv chartered surveyors, had this to say: “Typically, the new year heralds a fresh start for those considering taking out a mortgage, and small deposit buyers are now taking more share of the market than both last month and the same point a year ago.

First-time buyers are benefiting from historically low mortgage rates and this is helping more people onto the property ladder for the first time. Government schemes such as the Help to Buy ISA are also providing support for those still saving for their deposit.

Areas in London and the South East that have seen dramatic price rises in recent years, are starting to see this price growth slow. This is also helping more people in those regions to achieve their housing aspirations.”

Over a third of loans go to large deposit buyers

Despite the strong growth in the small deposit buyer market, those with larger deposits continue to dominate the UK mortgage market.

These borrowers – defined as those with a deposit of 60% or more – represented 35.4% of all mortgage approvals in January. This was marginally down on the 35.7% recorded in December and further back from the 36.2% seen in November.

However, the dramatic rise in small deposit buyers means that it is the mid-market section of the market which took the biggest hit this month.

In absolute terms, 12,609 small deposit buyers saw their mortgage applications approved in the first month of 2017. This is substantially above the 10,868 recorded in the previous month.

Richard Sexton, said: “The government is making all the right noises in terms of increasing housing supply, but words need to turn into action if the housing market is to work for all. A boost to the number of first-time buyer homes will contribute to getting the whole market moving.”

Yorkshire is small deposit hotspot

Yorkshire was the region with the highest proportion of small deposit buyers in January, replacing the North West at the top of the chart. Small deposit buyers made up 31.6% of the total market in Yorkshire this month, compared to just 24% in December.

The North West was the next most fertile ground for these buyers – with 27.2% of all loans going to those with small deposits. The Midlands completed the top three, with 23.7% of loans going to first-time buyers and similar borrowers.

Yorkshire and the North West were the only two areas of the UK which saw more loans going to small deposit borrowers than large ones.

At the other end of the scale, just 17.2% of loans in Scotland went to buyers with deposits of 15% or less. This was ahead of Eastern England (18.8% of all loans) and the South and South Wales (20.2%).

There were five regions where large deposit buyers took more than a third of the total market in January 2017. Scotland was the most dominated by these borrowers (38.4%) followed by Eastern England (37.0%) and South and South Wales (36.8%).

London – with 36.7% of all loans - and the South East (35.3%) were the other areas with more than a third of buyers having a 60% deposit or bigger.

Richard Sexton, concludes: “Yorkshire is the best location to buy a house if you’ve got a small deposit. This was one of only two areas (the North West being the other) to have more small deposit buyers than big ones. Both of these areas are great places to make your first step onto the property ladder.”



source http://blog.evolutionproperties.co.uk/2017/02/28/small-deposit-buyers-on-the-rise/

Profits jump by 20% at Taylor Wimpey

As Taylor Wimpey reports its full year results, Ian Forrest, investment research analyst at The Share Centre, explains what it could mean for investors.

Ian had this to say: “This morning, housing developer Taylor Wimpey reported a solid set of full year results and said it remained confident that 2017 will see ongoing stability and incremental price growth as a result of robust trading levels in the financial year to date. Indeed, the company reported a 17% hike in revenue, whilst operating profits were up 20% and basic earnings per share up 20% year-on-year. Interested investors should note that the average selling price rose 11% to £255,000 and the company built 14,112 new homes in 2016, up 4.8% on the  previous year.

Pete Redfern, Chief Executive at Taylor Wimpey, highlighted to investors today that this was an ‘excellent performance’ set against an uncertain political and economic environment that stabilised in the final quarter. The group went on to acknowledge that customer interest remains high and it continues to focus on building a strong order book for the future. Furthermore, it was keen to highlight that it is confident that it can adapt to all market conditions from a position of strength and perform well, ‘underpinning its value proposition to shareholders and other stakeholders’.

Nevertheless, we remain cautious given weak wage growth and the fact that the GfK UK Consumer Confidence index remains in a 10 month downward trend, consumer confidence shows signs of waning. Therefore, we continue to recommend Taylor Wimpey as a ‘hold’. However, we would not discourage contrarian investors taking a position in this stock so long as they are willing to accept the higher level of risk associated with the sector. The company is well managed, has a strong cash position and has been returning capital to investors.”



source http://blog.evolutionproperties.co.uk/2017/02/28/profits-jump-by-20-at-taylor-wimpey/

Friday 24 February 2017

The Most Northern Settlement in The World

 

Located just over eight hundred kilometers away from the North Pole, the community of Alert, on the northeastern tip of Ellesmere Island, in Nunavut, Canada, is the most northerly permanent settlement in the world. The nearest populated place is another 540 kilometers south, in Greenland, while the nearest Canadian city is over two thousand kilometers away. The place is so close to the North Pole that it can’t connect with communication satellites because their orbit lies below the horizon.

For four months, Alert exist in total darkness. For another four months, the sun never leaves the sky, but rising no more than 30 degrees above the horizon at noon. The land remains frozen and snow covered for almost ten months of the year. Winters are harsh and cold with temperatures regularly dropping thirty degrees below zero. Peak summer temperatures are just a couple of degrees above freezing.

At any time in this godforsaken place, you’ll find several dozen people living. Thankfully, Alert is not their permanent home; they are merely here on work. These cold and miserable people, nicknamed “The Frozen Chosen", include members of the Canadian Armed Forces —which maintains a signals intelligence intercept facility called CFS Alert— and scientific personnel working at the two research facilities here —the Environment Canada weather station and a Global Atmosphere Watch (GAW) atmosphere monitoring observatory.

The community of Alert is named after HMS Alert, a British ship which set up camp near Alert in the winters of 1875–76. The ship's captain, George Nares, and his crew were the first recorded people to reach the northern end of Ellesmere Island.

The weather station was established here in 1950. The military station came eight years later. During the Cold War, Alert was strategically important because it was the only point in North America that was closest to the northwestern area of the Soviet Union. In fact, Alert is closer to Moscow (2,500 miles or 4,000 km) than it is to Ottawa (2,580 miles or 4,150 km). Alert’s proximity to the Soviet Union allowed the US-Canada-UK-Australia-New Zealand intelligence sharing alliance, also known as the Five Eyes, to eavesdrop on the Russian communication network. The station soon became a key asset in the global ECHELON network.

At its peak, CFS Alert had upwards of 215 personnel posted at any one time. But after budget cuts in the 1990s, CFS Alert was downsized to approximately 74 personnel, but during summers, its population can rise to over hundred.

A Sun newspaper article dated November 14, 2004, provides readers with a glimpse of life at Alert:

The soldiers, a lot of them volunteers, serve six month postings -- divided by a three week vacation. Today, the food is as good as it ever was.  TV's in various rooms show four channels of live television and another four of movies, played from the stations stock of 4,500 video and DVDs. Listening to the base's CHAR-FM 105.9 trivia shows are another popular pastime. Much of the station is devoted to recreation, with two gyms, a darkroom, a bowling alley and a theatre. Evenings are filled with activities -- multi-player computer games, woodworking, bingo, euchre and trivia. Most personnel volunteer to come here. Like a crew inside a submarine, the isolation and uniqueness of Alert pull people together and drive others apart -- earning them all the 50-year-old nickname of  'The Frozen Chosen.".

The only way to transport anything here is by air. Every year, the RCAF makes about 225 Hercules flights to Alert to bring in around two million litres of fuel and 300 tonnes of cargo. In addition to the weekly flights, supplies are shuttled in twice a year in massive operations involving dozens of flights to and from the nearest deep-water port, Thule, Greenland. The problem is, much of the time Canada's Hercules C-130 aircraft aren't flying. The resupply flights are routinely delayed 24 hours or cancelled altogether when planes are grounded by mechanical problems or diverted elsewhere by military priority.

Military physicians note most people gain weight after arriving. Those who aren't able to deal with the remoteness are weeded out before they touch down on the gravel and snow runway. "It's great to be here, but you must keep yourself busy all the time," says  Station Warrant Officer Serge Oullet in 2004. "We try to get people to socialize with each other in off hours."

 

For all of the amazing photos, CLICK HERE



source http://blog.evolutionproperties.co.uk/2017/02/24/the-most-northern-settlement-in-the-world/

Rental sector rebounds from two-year low, says ARLA Propertymark

The rental sector appears to have bounced back from a two-year low recorded in December with tenant and property registrations increasing, ARLA Propertymark reports.

The trade body’s Private Rented Sector Report for January showed there were 34 prospective tenants registered per member branch, up from a two-year low of 26 in December and 10% up year-on- year.

The number of rental properties letting agents managed increased in January to 193 per branch from 188 in December. There were 173 recorded in January 2016.

Almost a quarter (23%) of the 144 agents who took part in the survey saw tenants experiencing rent hikes in January.

Your Move has also reported rent rises – but for the most part, minimal.

The average rent across England and Wales crept up just 1% in the year to the end of January to stand at £798.

Rents rose most in the east of England (6.9%) and in Wales (6.5%). However, rents in the south-west fell by 1.6%.

David Cox, chief executive of ARLA Propertymark, said: “When supply and demand are out of kilter, as they have been for so long now, the market isn’t balanced and fair for tenants, and rent prices will just continue to rise.

“Worse still, should the Government decide to implement an outright ban on letting agent fees when the consultation takes place, the situation will likely get worse for tenants.

“The costs of the vital services letting agent fees cover will need to be recouped, and this will get passed on to renters in inflated rental prices.

“This, combined with new landlords’ tax, particularly the upcoming changes to mortgage interest relief, means the rental market is far from reaching equilibrium.”



source http://blog.evolutionproperties.co.uk/2017/02/24/rental-sector-rebounds-from-two-year-low-says-arla-propertymark/

Wednesday 22 February 2017

Left behind!

Poor Pooh!

“Bastards didn’t even leave a forwarding address“ said Pooh.



source http://blog.evolutionproperties.co.uk/2017/02/22/left-behind/

Kitchen is king when it comes to influencing potential buyers

The latest survey from home services marketplace, Plentific.com, has revealed that a new kitchen is the most effective home improvement for influencing a potential buyer’s final decision as well as their offer.

The latest survey from home services marketplace, Plentific.com, has revealed that a new kitchen is the most effective home improvement for influencing a potential buyer’s final decision as well as their offer.

According to the data, when looking to buy a new property, 47% of potential homeowners would be influenced by it having a recently fitted kitchen. 28% would also be more likely to offer a higher price for this feature. Having a new bathroom also has a strong influence on home buyers; 46% would consider this when deciding whether to buy and 27% would potentially be willing to offer more money.

The order of rankings then somewhat divides. Looking at home improvements affecting the final decision to buy, new windows (45%) ranks third, followed by a new boiler (43%), a new extension (34%) and new loft insulation (33%). At the other end of the table, 31% of home buyers claimed that a new conservatory would affect their decision to buy. New garden landscaping (29%) follows this and new lighting (23%) sits at the bottom of the table.

It’s interesting when this order is compared to how home improvements affect the buyer’s decision to offer a higher price. New extensions climbs the rankings to take 3rd with 26%, whilst a new conservatory is also ranked highly with 23% of home buyers feeling this warrants a higher price. Extensions to the property clearly have a stronger influence on the offer than the decision to buy for potential buyers.

Stephen Jury, spokesperson for Plentific, said: “Many property buyers keep an eye out for particular home renovations when searching for their next home. It goes without saying that costly renovations are high on the wish list for most buyers. These can add significant value to a property and incentivise buyers to offer a higher price. If a seller is looking to get a better offer, our insight could provide useful guidance on which home improvements to invest in."



source http://blog.evolutionproperties.co.uk/2017/02/22/kitchen-is-king-when-it-comes-to-influencing-potential-buyers/

Tenant demand still rising say 94% of landlords

New data from Paragon Mortgages has revealed that tenant demand for private rented accommodation is continuing to rise.

The Government’s plans to reduce tax relief on buy-to-let mortgage interest, announced in the 2015 Summer Budget, compounded by an increase in stamp duty on new purchases, provoked uncertainty amongst landlords surveyed, with the proportion of those expecting to sell property reaching its highest ever level (25%) in Q1 2016.

However, as the tax relief changes edge nearer, landlords have begun to develop strategies to manage the impact of the changes, and the figure is now reversing, down to 17%, while the proportion of landlords willing to purchase buy-to-let property in Q1 2017 has grown to 13%, up from a record low of 9% 12 months ago.

Of the 204 landlords interviewed, 94% described tenant demand as stable or growing, with fewer than one in 30 suggesting a decline. Tenant demand continues to impact average void periods, which remain unchanged at 2.7 weeks, with 48% of respondents reporting that their properties stand empty for less than two weeks. Average yields also remained remarkably stable at 6.1%.

Among landlords expecting to purchase, these are most likely to buy terraced houses (62%), flats/maisonettes (31%) or semi-detached houses (23%). Notably, the proportion most likely to buy flats/maisonettes has decreased from 67% in the previous quarter.

John Heron, Managing Director, Paragon Mortgages, said: “With no material improvement in the supply of new housing against a background of strong population growth and household formation, it is no surprise that landlords are continuing to experience strong rental demand. It is promising therefore that there has been some improvement in landlord buying intentions albeit from a low base.

Any boost this gives to improving supply to the sector, however, needs to be balanced against the additional upward pressure that we are likely to see in rents as a result of the phased impact of the changes to the taxation of rental income.”



source http://blog.evolutionproperties.co.uk/2017/02/22/tenant-demand-still-rising-say-94-of-landlords/

Bovis Homes to slow its production rate in 2017

Bovis Homes experienced a 'difficult' 2016, but says that it is now focused on resetting the business.

Reporting on its results for the year ending December 31 2016, the housebuilder said that it had encountered operational challenges following a period of considerable growth. Whilst it continued to achieve strong growth in the first half of the year, it failed to deliver its expected unit sales and customer service performance in the second half, it said. By December it had a shortfall of 180 private homes.

Bovis explained that its production processes had not been robust enough to withstand its growth strategy and resource shortages across the sector.

The group will now slow its rate of production for 2017 with completion volumes expected to be around 10%-15% lower than the 3,977 homes of 2016.

Bovis conceded that its customer service standards had been “declining for some time” and, combined with production delays towards the end of the year, it entered 2017 “with a high level of customer service issues”.  In 2016, the group took a one-off £7 million customer care provision to deal with the volume of customer service problems.

Bovis said that it had begun a programme “to deliver significant and urgent improvement” in underlying processes across the business. It will conduct an end-to-end review of its production process and phasing of completions, and strengthen its operational capacity.

It also announced a series of measures to “transform” its customer service provision, including the formation of a customer task force, with Bovis home owners giving the business “advice, feedback and challenges as we continuously review all aspects of our customer service”. It said it would reinforce a “customer first” culture across the business and review its complaints procedures both pre- and post-legal completion.

During 2016, Bovis’ pre-tax profit slipped 3% to £154.7 million against 2015, with revenue climbing 11% to £1,054.8 million. Its legal completions rose 1% to 3,977 homes at an average selling price of £254,900, up 10%. Despite production slippages, it said that its overall production levels increased 7% to more than 4,200 notional units of build.

Earl Sibley, who took over as interim ceo following the departure of David Ritchie in January, said: "We have a clear set of operational priorities for 2017 and are fully committed to improving our levels of customer service and delivering high quality homes this year and in the future. The fundamentals of the business remain strong with a robust financial position and high quality land bank.”



source http://blog.evolutionproperties.co.uk/2017/02/22/bovis-homes-to-slow-its-production-rate-in-2017/

Tuesday 21 February 2017

Poor credit scores continue to hamper prospective homebuyers

A new survey looking into the nation's understanding of finances has suggested that prospective buyers are struggling to get mortgages due to poor credit scores - with many only realising their credit rating was low at the point their application was rejected.

The research, commissioned by specialist credit card provider Vanquis, set out to gauge public understanding of what credit is, how credit has affected their lives and if people know how to improve their credit scores.

The data revealed that one in five people in the UK have been declined credit, with one in ten of this group being denied a mortgage, rising to one in four for the 24 to 35 year old age group.

Over half (53%) of 25 to 34 year olds confessed that they have never checked their credit score before, compared to the national average of 43%.

Of those who had been denied credit, 36% said that they had been rejected for a credit or store card and 23% when they tried taking out a personal loan. One in ten of respondents said they only realised they had bad credit when they got turned down for a mortgage.

In London, 16% of those who were turned down for credit were denied a mortgage, with one in five only learning they had bad credit during their application.

When asked a series of true or false questions relating to credit, one in ten people believe that regularly checking your credit score will affect your rating and a further 10% believe that your credit score will be better if you don’t borrow money, both of which are incorrect.

Sion O’Connor, Marketing Director at Vanquis, said: “The results of our research are really interesting. It’s so surprising that 43% of adults confessed to having never checked their credit score, despite the fact that a credit rating dictates a large part of our lives.

Building a good credit rating is important to be able to borrow money for the important things we want in life, like a mortgage to buy a property of our own. It’s concerning that so many people get to the point of applying for a mortgage before they even know there is a problem.

We would advise people who have issues with their credit score not to apply for credit until they have improved their credit score, to get on the electoral register, make sure they pay your bills on time and, in the long term, consider using a credit builder card.

A credit builder card helps improve your creditworthiness by demonstrating that you can borrow money and meet the minimum payment each month.”



source http://blog.evolutionproperties.co.uk/2017/02/21/poor-credit-scores-continue-to-hamper-prospective-homebuyers/

Residential property transactions up 4.9%

The latest HMRC data has revealed that between December 2016 and January 2017, residential property transactions increased by 4.9% - the fourth consecutive month of increases.

The seasonally adjusted figure for the month is 0.3% higher compared with the same month last year.

Jeremy Duncombe, Director at Legal & General Mortgage Club, commented: “These figures show that although the housing market continues to grow in value and the worth of UK housing stock is rising, transaction volumes are not following the growth curve.

Seasonally adjusted, purchasing levels have remained relatively flat on an annual basis, however this shouldn’t be mistaken as being representative of a lack of demand but rather the cost of moving, particularly stamp duty, combined with a chronic lack of affordable housing. If the number of transactions remains static it will result in house price inflation continuing to trend upwards in 2017.”

Stephen Wasserman, Managing Director of West One Loans, comments: “Buyer confidence in bricks and mortar remains positive, as shown by today’s figures. The growth in property transactions is a promising start to the year and, although we’re anticipating some further economic disruptions caused by the political climate at home and abroad, these are encouraging signs. The property financing industry has to keep offering – and indeed offer more – flexible financing options to purchasers. This is imperative if we’re going to keep the market moving and enable property investors to navigate the market successfully in the months and years ahead.”

Paul Smith, CEO of haart estate agents, comments: “Today’s data continues to show the market is resilient with transactions up 4.9% on the year, all the more impressive when considering the rush of buy-to-let buyers entering the market to beat the stamp duty surcharge this same time last year. However the government’s approach to potential property buyers places too much emphasis on the stick whilst offering not enough carrot, and is doing nothing to persuade potential buyers that now’s the time to make a move.

All we as the industry can do is to continue to sing the same tune for change in the hope that the government will listen. Remove stamp duty for downsizers and first-time buyers, build more family homes and improve affordability for millions of first-time buyers that are desperately wanting to jump off the merry-go-round that is the rental trap. It will take a combined effort from all areas of the market to really unlock the potential for change.

Buyer confidence in bricks and mortar remains positive, as shown by today’s figures. The growth in property transactions is a promising start to the year and, although we’re anticipating some further economic disruptions caused by the political climate at home and abroad, these are encouraging signs. The property financing industry has to keep offering – and indeed offer more – flexible financing options to purchasers. This is imperative if we’re going to keep the market moving and enable property investors to navigate the market successfully in the months and years ahead.”

Brian Murphy, Head of Lending for Mortgage Advice Bureau, added: “Looking at the unadjusted figures for January 2017, we can see that there is a decrease of 26% on December 2016 to a total of 82,360 in January 2017. However, referring to the same period in 2015/2016 we can see a pattern emerging, which is that there was an identical month on month decrease of 26%, e.g. 113,690 residential transactions in the UK in December 2015 which decreased to 84,030 in January 2016.

The reasons for this are, potentially, relatively straightforward;  many people are keen to complete their transactions so that they can move into their new home for Christmas, hence the rise in volumes of transactions in December, and that January is, to all intents and purposes, a three week month, as many people really don’t get back into the ‘post festive groove’ with work and home until the second week of the new year. One might also suggest that the slightly higher figures in December 2015 versus December 2016 would be a reflection of those who decided to invest in buy-to-let following the announcements made in the the November 2015 Autumn Statement, in a bid to purchase prior to the SDLT increase in March 2016.

It could also be reasonable to suggest that the first half of 2016 was exceptionally busy, as has been previously noted by various industry bodies, therefore a decrease of 2% year on year is neither unexpected nor cause for concern. For context, the level of transactions (unadjusted) in January 2015 was 77,750 which illustrates a steady rise in transactions over the last two years, regardless of the current political and economic climate.”



source http://blog.evolutionproperties.co.uk/2017/02/21/residential-property-transactions-up-4-9/

Monday 20 February 2017

36% of us check the value of our friends properties

It’s the topic of conversation at dinner parties all across the land: how much is your property worth? We are, it’s fair to say, a nation obsessed with property value.

It’s hardly surprising, considering we’re one of the few European countries where being a homeowner – and aspiring to it - is more common than being a renter. And what with property values tending to go up (largely – recessions aside), we Brits see our homes as our nest egg, as well as just our nest.

Estate agents Keatons surveyed 2,000 home owners in the UK to find out how clued-up we are about property values. And it turns out we’re fairly savvy – and not just when it comes to our own! In fact, over a third of us (36%) have checked up on the value of a friend, family member’s, or neighbour’s property, using an online property valuation tool. This could be out of envy, or just plain curiosity – but it goes to show we’re a bit of a nosey nation when it comes to other people’s money.

Of these nosey parkers, men are more likely to check out the competition (we imagine they don’t like the idea that anyone they know is worth more than they are…), while, regionally, those in the East Midlands (44%) are most likely to be sniffing around their neighbours’ property prices, followed by North West (41%) and North East & South East (39%). Those in the East are the least interested in finding out the value of property of their neighbours (24%).

Obviously, the most important property value to know is our own, and even without specifically searching, over half of us (53%) know how much our place is worth. And we’re also pretty optimistic about house prices – nearly a third of us (32%) think the value of our property will go up this year – that’s even despite Brexit and the Trumpageddon! Of these positive souls, 64% are from the East of England.

21% of us are erring on the side of caution, and think our home’s value will stay static, while pessimists make up 7.2% of us, who believe our home value will decrease – of those doom-mongers, the most gloomy were from the North West (23%).

A spokesperson for Keatons said: "It’s a very British thing, to be preoccupied with property and prices. An Englishman’s home is his castle, after all! It’s important to keep an eye on values, though; that way you know when the right time to move, or improve, might be."



source http://blog.evolutionproperties.co.uk/2017/02/20/36-of-us-check-the-value-of-our-friends-properties/

Thursday 16 February 2017

Property prices rise faster in Brexit-voting regions

Data released yesterday by the Office for National Statistics means that for the first time it is possible to analyse a full six months of property price data since the United Kingdom’s referendum on European Union membership.

The HomeOwners Alliance has analysed the data to see how house prices have performed in different regions of the country since the vote. Comparing changes in property values with the results of the referendum reveals some interesting patterns, and suggests there is a clear ‘Brexit effect’, with property prices performing better in areas that voted most strongly to leave the EU.

The five regions which voted most strongly to leave the EU have all seen property price increases in excess of 3% compared to June 2016, with the East of England the fastest-growing region at 4.25%.

Conversely, the only three regions which voted to remain have seen slower growth. In Scotland, the most pro-remain region, prices have dropped by 1.2% over the last six months, while London and Northern Ireland have also seen more modest growth.

Commenting on the data, Paula Higgins, Chief Executive of the HomeOwners Alliance said:

“There is a clear pattern here; areas that voted more strongly to leave the EU have seen property prices grow faster over the past six months than areas that were pro-remain. Of course, house prices are dictated by a myriad of economic, political and social factors, but confidence – the all-important ‘feel-good factor’ – is vital.

“It seems that people in regions that voted to leave are now more optimistic about their future prospects, and that this impacting on the housing market. Conversely, areas that have fared less well, such as Northern Ireland, Scotland and London, may be less certain of their economic futures.”



source http://blog.evolutionproperties.co.uk/2017/02/16/property-prices-rise-faster-in-brexit-voting-regions/

Majority of landlords taking action ahead of tax relief changes

Paragon Mortgages has seen a "modest improvement" in optimism among landlords as they begin to take action ahead of changes to tax relief.

22% of landlords surveyed are now more optimistic as they come to terms with the impending changes to tax relief and an increase in stamp duty.

While the majority (65%) of landlords report no change in sentiment, 12% still said that, compared with three months ago, they are now more pessimistic, down from 18% three months ago.

This coincides with rising levels of awareness about the implications of the tax relief changes, with the policy due to be phased in from April 2017, as 58% of landlords reported having already taken, or are making plans to take, action ahead of time.

The most commonly reported actions have been to increase the rent charged to cover some or all of the increased cost (24%), to maintain their current properties but not buy any more (21%) and to sell some of their properties and not buy any more (16%).

As a result, buying intentions, which remain some way off their peak, are slightly improving, with 13% expecting to purchase buy-to-let property in the next quarter, up from 11% in Q3. While a higher proportion (17%) of landlords expect to sell, this is down from 21% three months ago.

As is expected in the current landscape, tenant demand remains high, with 94% of landlords describing the market as stable or growing, and fewer than one in 30 suggesting a decline. Tenant demand continues to impact average void periods, which remain unchanged at 2.7 weeks.

John Heron, Managing Director, Paragon Mortgages, said: “We’ve reached a critical time for landlords looking to plan ahead and this is reflected in the Q4 report. It’s clear that landlords’ understanding of the changes has improved and that more landlords are developing a clear strategy to address the impact of the changes.

“However, despite increasing optimism, we must remain cautious. The changes have not started to be implemented yet and the full impact will not be felt for many years. Whilst it is predictable that landlords will seek to increase rents in response to higher costs this clearly will not be good news for tenants, particularly those that are already struggling to save for a deposit.”



source http://blog.evolutionproperties.co.uk/2017/02/16/majority-of-landlords-taking-action-ahead-of-tax-relief-changes/

Monday 13 February 2017

Average prices break through £300,000 barrier in ‘confident’ start to year

Property prices on England and Wales broke through the £300,000 level in January, according to the latest Your Move house price index.

Average house prices grew 0.3% in the month and 3.1% annually to £300,169.

The agent said activity in January was also higher than usual for the time of year, estimating 60,000 transactions. This was lower than the 62,059 in January 2016, which also started strongly, but up by more than 2,000 on 2015.

Oliver Blake, managing director of Your Move and Reeds Rains, said: “It’s been a confident start to the year for the housing market.

“Following a strong December, the performance in January shows a market whose resilience continues to defy the doubters.”



source http://blog.evolutionproperties.co.uk/2017/02/13/average-prices-break-through-300000-barrier-in-confident-start-to-year/

Sunday 12 February 2017

FTBs storm the property ladder during January

New data from Connells Survey & Valuation has found that during January there was a noticable jump in the number of first-time buyers stepping on to the housing ladder.

In the first month of 2017, first-time buyer valuations rose by 21%, driven by high employment and an uplift in weekly earnings.

This has increased the importance of first-time buyers to the overall housing market, with first-time buyers now responsible for a third of activity (34%), up from a quarter at the start of 2016.

John Bagshaw, corporate services director of Connells Survey & Valuation, said: “With UK employment close to its eleven year high and weekly earnings rising by 3%, many first-time buyers are fitter financially than they were a year ago. Aided by cheap mortgages rates, aspiring home owners have seized the opportunity to get their first foot on the ladder. The demand for homes has been particularly high in January, with the Connells Group estate agency network for instance seeing nearly 12 applicants per each new instruction that comes onto the market.”

John continues: “As a proportion of the overall valuations, first-time buyers are now even more important to the health of the market – making up a third of activity. It will be reassuring for the Government to know that their policies to boost demand from first-time buyers are bearing fruit.

However, more work is still required to ensure the supply side of the housing market is fit for purpose. First-time buyers tend to be younger couples, keen to start families, so need to be able to move up the rungs on the property ladder easily. The policies to ensure the right homes are built in the right places within the new White Paper should help boost the supply of family homes, but the Government must also deliver on their pledges to build homes faster to ensure a healthy housing sector over the next few years.”

The number of valuations carried out on behalf of people selling property rose 10% in January 2017, compared to the same month last year.

But, while valuations for first-time buyers and those selling homes increased, landlord investment has declined by 63% year-on-year.

This is partially due to a surge in buy-to-let purchases in January 2016 as landlords brought forward purchases to avoid the stamp duty surcharge – but landlord investment is still well down on January 2015.

John Bagshaw concluded: “The new White Paper’s aim of helping tenants through supporting the build to rent sector could be rendered ineffective with this recent drop in investment from private landlords. While a potential increase in build to rent homes will take some years to filter through, the slowdown in buy-to-let purchases will soon start to bite, with fewer rental properties coming onto the lettings market. This shortage of supply could fuel competition from tenants with the potential to push up rents.

There is a serious risk that the Government’s attempt to increase the number of affordable homes to rent will also be overshadowed by the impact of George Osborne’s taxation policies aimed at private landlords. As the Government’s definition of ‘affordable’ is linked to the market averages, rather than tenant incomes, rising rents could mean new ‘affordable homes’ are out of reach for those just about managing.”



source http://blog.evolutionproperties.co.uk/2017/02/12/ftbs-storm-the-property-ladder-during-january/

Industry reacts to Housing White Paper

The white paper “Fixing our broken housing market” sets out a broad range of reforms that government plans to introduce to help reform the housing market and increase the supply of new homes. As ever, the property industry was quick to react. Here's what they've been saying.

Jeremy Leaf, north London estate agent and a former RICS residential chairman, said: "The proposals in the White Paper sound great but we have heard it all before. Talking is all well and good but what about action - what will it actually mean for the builders, the planners, the architects, the local authorities and of course the buyers in the near future?

The first issue when dealing with any problem is to recognise it - and we welcome the fact that the government has done that. But we now want to see a strict, verifiable timetable for delivery on all fronts. Whether it is the issues with lettings or supply or infrastructure, delivery or planning - we want to see what is going to make a difference.

What would be refreshing and of immense value would be to see a cross-party political agreement so we don’t see the booms and busts and stops and starts that have dogged housing policy in the past. A measure of agreement across the political divide would be welcome so that we can move forward not just in this parliament but in future parliaments. A coherent, respected, long-term policy which involves building more houses and keeping prices in check would go a long way to solving the broken housing market."

David Cox, Managing Director, Association of Residential Letting Agents (ARLA) and Mark Hayward, Managing Director, National Association of Estate Agents (NAEA), comment: “We welcome today’s Housing White Paper; thinking about homes across tenures is really important and it’s reassuring that the Government is seeking a holistic view of all housing needs. The White Paper raises many of the significant issues the housing sector is facing. The important next step is that the industry puts forward robust solutions and that Government listens and takes these forward to really make a difference.”

Supply and demand

Mark Hayward, Managing Director, NAEA says: “Only 32,000 affordable homes were built in 2016, and this is totally unacceptable, especially given the number of homes we really need. We’ve had years of empty promises now and this has exacerbated the problem resulting in the price of properties being out of reach for so many.

The announcement the Government plans to diversify the market by opening it up to smaller builders who embrace innovative and efficient methods is great and could go some way in helping deliver a vast number of homes quickly. However, it’s vital the Government considers the cost of building modular homes and understands these could remain unaffordable and unsuitable for FTBs.”

Greenbelt and ancient woodland

Mark Hayward, says: “We are not advocating building on ancient woodland; however, we do believe the greenbelt policy should be reappraised. Let’s not allow objections to building on the green belt help further deteriorate the housing crisis.”

Downsizing incentive

Mark Hayward, says: “The Government’s plans to help older people move at the right time and in the right way to free up homes for other buyers is an important issue and something we believe would make a big difference. Around two fifths of homes in the UK are owned by those aged over 65, who have no desire to move as they do not want to sustain the costs or stress involved with moving. They are considered “bedroom blockers” and are the main reason why there are a large number of homes with two or three spare bedrooms. We look forward to working with the Government on how it aims to use the existing housing stock in a more efficient way.”

New focus on renting tenures

David Cox, Managing Director, ARLA says: “We are pleased that the Government has signalled a move towards a mixed tenure approach to house building and recognised that owner-occupation is not the only option available for those looking  for a home. It is important that we have a housing market that works for everyone, not just for those who own their own property.”

Encouraging institutional investment

David Cox, says: “ARLA welcomes the Government’s plans to encourage more institutional investment to boost the number of properties available for rent. Any proposals that increase supply should be applauded.

However, this approach should not be at the expense of small landlords who make up the bulk of the private rented sector. Experience has shown that, even in countries where institutional investment in the PRS has been encouraged, it still only makes up a small part of the sector. Small landlords are vital to the health of our rental sector.”

Three year tenancies

David Cox, says: “ARLA welcomes any attempt to improve stability in the housing market and it is important that tenants feel that they are secure in their homes and are able to plan for the future. We welcome the Government’s approach to this, and have been working closely with DCLG on proposals for incentivising longer term tenancies; after all, it is in the best interests of landlords, tenants and agents to have long, well maintained tenancies. It is a fallacy that a regular churn of tenants benefits anyone.”

Powers to stop unscrupulous landlords

David Cox, says: “We are highly supportive of the powers contained in the Housing and Planning Act as they are targeted at those that bring the industry into disrepute and we encourage the Government to bring them into force as soon as possible.”

Russell Quirk, property expert and eMoov CEO, had this to say: “As always, commendable that the Government should look to again address the housing crisis, but there is an all too familiar theme of ‘close but no cigar’ where today’s announcements are concerned and a real lack of ambition. Although this paper will be cautiously welcomed, much of what Mr Javid announced today was nothing but recycle rhetoric and statistics from previous announcements, and as always, the Devil will be in the doing.

Rather than make any real steps towards a solution, today’s changes seem to only trim the fat from a system that is fundamentally broken.

Life Time ISA

The Life Time ISA is a positive step, but the Government’s various Help to Buy schemes, regardless of what guise they come under, have had an insufficient impact in helping first-time buyers historically. So, there is no real expectation that this will be any different as it is essentially a regurgitated version of previous schemes.

Green Belt

The stubborn stance on green belt is disappointing, there are swathes of land that are classed as green belt that should not be labelled as such, which could go a long way in addressing the shortage of land needed to build.

We must be more grown up about building on green belt and we are only talking about 1% of it, but it would seem the Government are more concerned about going to war with middle-England than they are with addressing the housing crisis.

All too often knee-jerk councillors are scared of lobbying NIMBYs and bow to their demands, stopping attempts to build housing at the planning committee level, in fear that their career will slide if they don’t. The reality is that we need to build on about 9% of the nation and therefore someone will have their nose put out of place by a new development down the road from them.

But the consequence of not doing so is that our children and their children will have nowhere to live and we won’t have a housing crisis on our hands, but a social crisis.

Downsizing

Kicking pensioners out of their homes with the offer of some poultry compensation will be of cold comfort to them. Downsizing may seem like a nice concept on the face of it but it really is just that, a concept, and one that has not been considered properly in terms of what it actually involved, which is essentially kicking people out of the homes they have worked hard for.

Developers and Building

The reduction in time between planning permission and the start of building is such a small aspect of the problem that it will barely make a dent to the overall outcome.

The move to encourage developers away from low-density areas, whilst helping to fund smaller firms to challenge the big players in the space may incite more competition and more extensive housing projects, but we need these developers to be encouraged to actually build in the first place. Something they currently aren’t doing due to a lack of incentives.

In fact, all we have really seen from developers of late is the disgraceful backhanded tactics of selling off leases behind the backs of homeowners. This is a practice fuelled by greed to maximise the profit made by these developers at the expense of the homeowner, under the guise of addressing the housing crisis whilst they’re in fact fuelling it. Rather than potentially increase the number of them building, these developers need to be first brought to account for their actions.

Again, the promise of stamping this out is a commendable one, but one that is unlikely to come to fruition.”

Ian Thomas, co-founder and CIO of LendInvest, commented: "The housing white paper makes it clear that the onus is on all levels of government and industry to deliver more homes of every type.

The success of small scale housebuilders is of critical importance to the increase in housing supply. In the execution of these measures, government must put SMEs at the fore, providing them with access to finance, land and skills to put homes on British streets.

We want to see these small builders and property investors at the front of the queue to purchase public land and we look forward to opportunities to work with government to get public finance into the hands of these developers."

Aidan Rushby, CEO of Movebubble, commented: “This whitepaper has demonstrated that the government are only slowly opening up to the public’s changing attitude towards traditional property ownership and long-term renting. As such it will ultimately not help UK renters and agents in the long term, or counteract the belief, contributing to the housing crisis, that buying is the only acceptable end goal in consumers’ property journeys.

Yes, the changes they have proposed will mean the encouragement of more innovative solutions, such as build-to-rent (BTR), and measures to improve access to long-term tenancies will be secured. Which on the surface is positive; there is an undeniable trend away from buying and towards renting. However, the government’s plans will complicate processes already put in place by the property industry to increase the amount of affordable, high-quality BTR options. Ultimately, though they have the best intentions, the government should let the industry regulate itself, and spend more time on promoting the UK BTR market as a viable financial investment.

If the government’s plans are to make any real impact, they must do more to demonstrate the attractive lifestyle benefits which distinguish housing alternatives like BTR from traditional offerings. Instead of introducing unnecessary legislation into the industry, which will not help the UK catch-up with the rest of the world where life-long renting, and BTR are already accepted as a favourable alternative to home ownership.”

Paula Higgins, Chief Executive, HomeOwners Alliance, said: “After years of policy-making which has focused mostly on inflating demand, it appears the government is keen to tackle the UK’s chronic shortage of housing. But we need more action and fewer words. It’s difficult to see how these measures will enable the government to meet its target of 1 million new homes by 2020.

Increased supply must not come at the expense of quality and the government is very quiet on this point. A continued and unbalanced focus on building quantity rather than quality new-builds means we’re in serious danger of causing more harm than good with housing which is not fit for future generations.

A new wave of housebuilding will require ever greater scrutiny from government, and stronger regulation to tackle malpractice. The latest wave of new homes, for example, have caught buyers in a leasehold trap – leaving them with the choice of shelling out thousands for their freehold, or living in homes which are unsaleable. The entire system is broken and in desperate need of reform if we are to create a stable housing system that truly works for everyone.

It’s welcoming to see the white paper sets out some measures and investment in working towards affordable rent. Build to Rent, for example, will hopefully show some promising signs of creating a step-change in the supply of homes available for rent.

If the system works correctly, renting provides a launch pad from which aspiring homeowners can save money each month and make significant steps towards owning their own property.

The government should not give up on homeownership and the security and stability that comes with it. Recent research from the British Social Attitudes Survey found that 86% of people want to own their own home, while our own findings have found that there is a homeownership gap of 5millon people.

Finding a long-term solution to making housing more affordable and getting people firmly on the property ladder so they can have a home of their own is ultimately what is better for society.”

Increasing the supply of land

Developers have deliberately managed the supply of new homes for too long, enabling them to take advantage of pent up housing demand. The government is making small steps towards preventing developers from sitting on valuable land, but we strongly believe more needs to be done. Holding up the development impairs the speed of building housing and we need to deal with the issue of affordability.

Stats show there is a huge discrepancy between the number of plots and homes approved for development and the number of actual homes being built so this is clearly a huge problem which needs to be tackled head on.”

Leasehold Reform

The focus on leasehold houses is not before time, but we also need to turn our attention to those who have bought them already.

Those who were encouraged to purchase through the Help to Buy scheme and the latest wave of new homes, for example, find themselves caught in a leasehold trap – leaving them with the choice of shelling out thousands for their freehold, or living in homes which are unsaleable. The entire system is broken and in desperate need of reform if we are to create a stable housing system that truly works for everyone.”

Tony Lewis, Head of Policy at CIEH, said: “More young people and families are renting their homes long-term and plans to extend the length of tenancy agreements is a step in the right direction. This will give occupants more security, an opportunity to make a home for themselves and put down roots in their local communities.

At the same time, landlords have a responsibility to ensure accommodation is fit for people to live in as housing conditions have a significant impact on physical health and mental wellbeing. New homes need to be built to modern standards and there is also a need to ensure the older housing stock is brought up to 21 Century standards.

Plans to build new homes are desperately needed but developers and councils need to ensure that any brownfield land developed is properly decontaminated. Environmental Health officers have a vital role in working with their planning colleagues to ensure new developments are built quickly as well as being fit for purpose.”

Ged McPartlin, sales director at Ascend Properties, comments: “Any help to boost the private rental sector must be commended, providing stability and peace of mind for tenants who are increasingly feeling squeezed. We need to ensure that there is more choice in the market, realising that it is not just young professionals who need apartments but also families who need more space in good quality houses for rent. This is less of a problem outside of London but if the capital can be seen to be leading the way, the positive ripples will be felt far and wide.”

Graham Davidson, managing director of Sequre Property Investment, said: “After years of focusing on the unrealistic goal of ‘home ownership for all’, the Government is finally realising the vital role that the private rental sector has to play in delivering a balanced housing market. While the focus is on institutional grade investment, we must not lose sight of the role that individual landlords play. Build to Rent has been much talked about but as of yet we have yet to see many tangible results – meaning that it is down to private landlords to deliver the goods. Any effort to kick-start building and development can only be positive but as with any new initiatives, we must not get too excited as the impact could take many years to be felt.”

David Giovanni, Managing Director of Whitecroft Group, comments: “We welcome the announcement of relaxed planning and increased funding to help small-medium developers enter the market. The current planning system is arduous and geared towards large scale operations that have both the time and funds to successfully navigate it, when the reality is that it is small to medium sized developers that can bring to fruition the innovative solutions needed to help build more homes. Currently just ten companies build around 60% of new homes – that has to change.”

Jo Eccles, Managing Director of independent property search agency, Sourcing Property, said: “The government’s announcement to bolster the Private Rented Sector (PRS) and Build to Rent is a positive step. Attracting institutional investors to the professional landlord industry is vital. Not only will they be able to help build appropriate housing stock (and quickly) but they will be in a position to permit very long term and professionally managed tenancies, which would-be buyers are craving.

The aspiration to be a home owner is well and truly changing, whether by choice or financial circumstance. For example, a large majority of millennials don't actually aspire to owning a home; they don't want to have to save their disposable income for a deposit on a property, or to lock themselves in to remaining in one place for a long time, or burden themselves with the responsibility of having to maintain a property.

Downsizers aren't dissimilar. Many I know would gladly downsize to a more manageable and suitably located property if they had the option to rent indefinitely and save themselves the huge expense of having to buy the smaller property and sink vast sums of their released equity into stamp duty in the process.

Individual landlords don't hold the answer to the emerging nation of willing renters. They are often constrained to offering relatively short term tenancies of no more than a year or two at a time due to buy to let mortgage restrictions on the length of tenancies they can commit to, or their own personal circumstances that may see them move back to the property or use the value of their property for other things. In addition, the upcoming mortgage interest tax changes may well result in a reduction in individual landlords over the coming years.

Not only does institutional investment in the PRS mean appropriate housing available on a long-term basis, but the yield from their property holdings should provide capital preservation that so many institutions, such as pension funds, need. A win-win for everyone in my opinion.”

Duncan Walker, managing director of Renaissance Villages, comments: “The government needs to deliver on its promises by ensuring that the planning process moves faster.  This will attract a wider range of financial backing for development schemes and speed up delivery. Slow planning processes and lengthy build programmes are not attractive to backers such as private equity.  For the retirement sector to really gain traction we need to support funding by a completely different capital structure.”

This was also an opportunity for the Communities Secretary to introduce an incentive for people buying a family home from a downsizing owner.  This would galvanise the progress of property chains, which are often upwards of five sales long and help to free up larger family homes and assist the housing ladder from first-time buyers upwards.”

There is a huge demand for good quality retirement property in the UK and a lack of suitable stock. As a result, reservations for our properties are very strong but exchanges are a challenge. Exchanges take an average of four months to complete and delays in the selling process are preventing retirees from making the move from a four or five bedroom family house to a more appropriately sized cottage or apartment. This process proves emotionally draining for those looking to downsize, who are often blocked from completing on the purchase of a home into which, psychologically, they have already moved.”

Mark Scott, a specialist in residential property at law firm Blake Morgan, said: “The publishing of today’s White Paper heralds a significant shift in the national housing strategy that should be welcomed by many buyers, sellers and housebuilders.

It has reached a tipping point where simply not enough homes are being built to meet demand and reforms are long overdue. Home ownership should be within everyone’s reach, but what is significant about these measures is they could be the first real catalyst for change in the rental market, which is at a record high, particularly in London.

Incentives for developers to build higher where there is shortage of land, more affordable rental housing, and slashing timescales for housebuilding once planning permission is given, could breathe new life into the housing market at a time when it is really needed.

The test will be whether the measures actually equate to more homes being delivered by developers given the instability in the past few years and uncertainty around Brexit.

One of the proposals is for developers to commence site construction within two years of planning permission being granted as opposed to the current three year limit which will encourage quicker completion dates. This is a certainly a step in the right direction, but a real incentive in my view would be for developers to be offered a tax incentive to achieve early structural completion dates for their buyers and further reforms to the level of Stamp Duty Land Tax payable by first time buyers.”

Rajiv Nathwani, the Director of Quivira Captial, had this to say: “Considering this has been delayed by three months, I would have expected much more substance. It was hailed as a great leap forward for home building in this country but it just seems like they are promising more consultations.

Nothing in here besides the ability to build more dense housing will assist in the short term. There is a shortage now and I would have expected there to be some movement on the opening up of planning rules and allowing some building on green belt. They have categorically stated this won’t be the case. I think this is yet another paper stating that somebody will do something at some point. There isn’t much now.

Incentives and schemes such as help to buy are what we need. They immediately helped those looking to buy their first home. Personally we have noticed a big shift in sales once our scheme was registered for help to buy.”

Jeff Doble, Chief Executive of London based estate agents, Dexters, said: “The stalled sites initiative is misconceived, it is likely to create unintended consequences. This is a classic case of “Nanny knows best”, with the Government failing to understand the issues be being too quick to dismiss the views of the industry.

Once again, this is too little too late in my view - tinkering around the edges,  rather than dealing with the causes for the slow rate of new build - the planning system, associated charges and stamp duty. It is impossible that these measures will create the step-change that the Government says it needs to reach its 2020 target of one million new homes. Brownfield land is often more valuable in existing use than risking the enormous costs, delays and uncertainty of the planning system.”



source http://blog.evolutionproperties.co.uk/2017/02/12/industry-reacts-to-housing-white-paper/

Demand for homes sees 7.8% rise in January

The latest report from Haart has revealed that house prices in England and Wales in January fell by 0.5% on the month, and by 3.5% on the year with the average house price now sitting at £223,885.

According to the report, new buyer demand for homes rose by 7.8% in January, however continues to be down by a significant 37.1% on the year. Additionally, the number of properties coming onto the market this month has fallen slightly by 0.3% on the month, and 1.9% on the year. As the number of new stock has decreased, and the number of new buyers has increased, there are now 11 buyers chasing every instruction.

The market has becomes less efficient this month, as the despite a decrease in transactions, the number of viewings that took place in January has risen, meaning that buyers are choosing to view more properties before they buy.

The average purchase price for first-time buyers has fallen in January, by 3.8% on the month and by 2.1% annually. Despite falling prices, the number of new first-time buyers entering the market has risen by 10.9% on the month, however is down by 41.3% on the year.

Despite purchase prices falling, the average first- time buyers are paying for a deposit has risen by 1% on the month and 5.3% on the year.

The average property price in London has fallen this month by 1.2% on the month, however us up by 0.8% annually. On the month, the price fall in London was greater than across the country. The number of new buyers entering the market is up by 7.6% on the month, however is down by 31.6% on the year. At the same time the number of new properties coming onto the market has risen by 8% on the month, but is down 22% on the year. Sale transactions are down by 3.4% on the month, and 26.1% annually.

The number of tenants entering the market has risen by 0.1% on the month in January, however is down by 23% on the year. As supply slight increases, prices slightly drop. The average rent for England and Wales now sits at £1,354. In London, the number of new tenants has dropped by -24.6% on the month, and by 23.6% annually. The average rent in London has fallen by 0.8, and now sits at £1,856.

The number of landlords registering to buy has risen by 4.6 on the month in England and Wales, however is down by 52.7% on the year. In London, the number of registrations is down by 3.4% on the month, and by a greater 67.9% on the year. The number of buy-to- let sales is down on the month and the year across England and Wales, however has risen by 8% on the month in London. Sale prices have dropped by 3.1% on the month and 10.4% on the year in England and Wales, however are up by 4.9% in London, and down by 7.9% annually.

Paul Smith, CEO of haart, comments: “We’ve seen a New Year surge in interest from potential buyers across the country – valuations, viewings and online searches are all up significantly. This isn’t just a seasonal phenomenon. The second half of 2016 was one of subdued market activity as would-be buyers and sellers took stock in uncertain times, but this in turn created huge pent-up demand in the market which is now starting to return. However, these blatant intentions to move are yet materialise as an increase in transactions, which are still suffering on month the month and the year.

Clearly a multitude of barriers are still hindering buyers from taking the plunge and the Housing White Paper is the Government’s opportunity to tackle them. Government stamp duty incentives for downsizers and first time buyers would be an easy way to get the market moving, while buy to let demand could easily be channelled into build to rent through incentives if the government refuses to drop its stamp duty surcharge on second homes. Solving the housing crisis will take action at both ends of the property market, and failure to recognise this will see the paper stumbling before it gets off the starting blocks.

The government must be creative in its solutions and dare to think the politically unthinkable – limited green belt deregulation is a policy with the power to truly transform the supply of homes. Opportunities for radical reform don’t come around very often, and so it is crucially important that the government get this right, and let this be the hallmark of modern housing reform in the UK.”



source http://blog.evolutionproperties.co.uk/2017/02/12/demand-for-homes-sees-7-8-rise-in-january/

BTL rates fall to record lows

New data from Mortgages for Business has shown that BTL rates for 2 and 3 year products have dropped to their lowest levels on record - 2.92% and 3.76% respectively.

However, according to the report,  five year fixed rates crept up for the second month in a row and now average 3.77%, exceeding the average price of three-year fixed rates for the first time since January 2015.

The index also found that January was a good month for short-term tracker products, with two year buy to let tracker rates again at an average of just 2.81%, having remained unchanged from December.

David Whittaker, CEO of Mortgages for Business, said: “Longer term swaps in particular have risen in recent months, so it’s no surprise that pricing for five-year fixed rates have started to creep up. However, when looking at the bigger picture, these rates are still, on average, less than 1% more than their shorter term counterparts. As such, we continue to recommend them to customers as they not only provide a longer period of security against rate rises in an uncertain market, they can also save landlords the time and money it costs in remortgaging more often.

At the very least, landlords should consider having some properties mortgaged on longer term fixes to spread risk. The fact that these rates are beginning to rise now should prompt landlords to take action sooner rather than later.”



source http://blog.evolutionproperties.co.uk/2017/02/12/btl-rates-fall-to-record-lows/

Economists predict housing crash won't happen in 2017

New forecasting from economists at Lancaster University Management School indicates the UK housing market will remain stable as house price inflation slows to 3.5%.

They have been analysing house prices (using the Nationwide House Price Data) retrospectively since October 2015 to produce the Housing Market Observatory with the aim of analysing indicators patterns of exuberance, or price booms.

For 2017, they have introduced forecasting into the Observatory and results suggest that house prices in the national and all regional property markets will grow this year. For the UK national market, the forecasting models predict a slowdown in the rate of house price inflation to 3.5% in 2017 (in 2016 it was 4.4%).

Despite some economists predicting a price crash in 2017, the two main factors responsible for the positive forecasted growth in the housing market are (i) the sound domestic economic conditions (mainly a healthy growth rate of consumption), and (ii) the fall in the real mortgage rate (mainly due to the recent rise in inflation rate).

In producing the forecasts, the researchers considered ten economic variables as potential predictors of future house price; four regional-level and six national-level predictors. The variables measured at the regional level include the price-to-income ratio, income growth, the unemployment rate, and the growth in the labour force; whilst national-level predictors consist of the real mortgage rate, the spread between yields on long-term and short-term government securities, growth in industrial production, the number of housing starts, growth in real consumption, and an index of credit conditions which captures changes in lending policies and easing/tightening of prudential regulation.

In addition to those variables they also incorporated a structure of property price growth in contiguous regions to capture the effect of spatial correlation in house prices within the UK.

In regional housing markets, the predicted patterns of property price behaviour vary. The expectation about the future interest rate increases, which is an important determinant of housing dynamics in London but not in the other regional markets, puts a downward pressure on the house price growth in this region. According to the forecasting results, housing inflation in London will slow down in the first quarters of 2017, but the growth in property prices is predicted to build up towards the end of the year. Overall, the forecasts indicate a 3.9% growth in London property prices in the course of 2017.

The forecasts predict a similar pattern of house price behaviour in the regions contiguous to London, including Outer Metropolitan, Outer South East and South West. The property market of East Anglia, which is currently growing faster than any other regional market of the country, is predicted to slow down in 2017, but still remains the market with the highest housing inflation (the forecasts suggest that house prices in this region will grow by 5.7% over the year).

The UK Housing Observatory is a project of the Economics Department at Lancaster University Management School (LUMS) aimed at improving our understanding of the UK national and regional housing markets.



source http://blog.evolutionproperties.co.uk/2017/02/12/economists-predict-housing-crash-wont-happen-in-2017/

Thursday 9 February 2017

New bench at Kingsnorth!

Last August we were made aware of the theft of the bench at the school end of Kingsnorth Playing field. We immediately made contact and offered to help. A very dear friend , who owns English Oak Designs , offered to make the replacement bench, thank you Ross! He informs me that its made from reclaimed wood and the table top and bench tops are apparently from a pier!

We want everyone to enjoy this and we hope it stays there for many years to come!



source http://blog.evolutionproperties.co.uk/2017/02/09/new-bench-at-kingsnorth/

A simple message

As some of you may already know, a despicable act was carried out this last week at our local Pilgrims Hospice. Someone took it upon themselves to break in and felt it was their right to take valuable items and cause unnecessary damage, full story here;

http://www.kentonline.co.uk/ashford/news/thieves-break-into-hospice-120141/

It was an awful thing to have to deal with for all of the staff but the silver lining was the support that was received by so many local Ashfordians, and further afield too! Our local DJ, Mr John "Webbo" Webster rallied everyone to the cause and the response was outstanding!

Here at Evolution we kicked straight in to gear and replaced the television the very next day, https://www.facebook.com/johnwebbo.webster/posts/939212486213574, the local Albion Pub collected enough money to replace a video camera, Bill Wilson MD of AES Precision Engineering replaced the other, Fox Energy handed over an amazing cheque for £1000 and the list just goes on and on!

This makes us all so proud to be part of the town and its things like this that show peoples true colours.

An amazing lady, Kay Ovenden, has started a collection page here;

https://www.justgiving.com/crowdfunding/Ashfordpilgrimshospice

As I am writing this, the page has reached a whopping £605, 60% of its target and I am asking for each of you to make a donation, doesn't matter how small. Lets help the hospice get back on its feet and make some huge steps forward.

Thank you so much

 



source http://blog.evolutionproperties.co.uk/2017/02/09/a-simple-message/

Sunday 5 February 2017

Where in the UK has the best mortgage affordability?

According to new research from Bank of Scotland, across the UK, mortgage affordability for both first time buyers and homemovers in Q4 2016 was lowest in Scotland with payments equating to 19.8% of disposable earnings, compared to 29.7% for the UK.

The most affordable Local Authority District (LAD) in Scotland is also the UK’s most affordable. Mortgage payments in West Dunbartonshire sat at 15.4% of disposable income for this area in Q4 2016. North Lanarkshire (15.6%), East Ayrshire (14.6%), Renfrewshire (16.6%), Inverclyde (16.8%), Stirling (17.0%) and Falkirk (17.2%) also dominate the UK’s ten most affordable LADs.

Although the majority of Scottish LADs have seen a slight increase in the amount of earnings devoted to mortgage payments when compared to Q4 2015, mortgage affordability in Scotland has improved by 17.5 percentage points since reaching a peak of 37.3% in Q3 of 2007. Historically low mortgage rates have been the main driver behind the significant improvement in affordability since 2007.

Despite average Scottish house prices growing by 9% in the past year, mortgage affordability in Q4 2016 rose only marginally from a year earlier, rising from 19.4% to 19.8%.  However, this is comfortably below the long-term Scottish average of 28.5%2. This proportion has stayed low due to further falls in mortgage rates during 2016, from an average of 2.49%1 in Q1 to 2.17%1 in Q4.

Improvements in mortgage affordability in nearly all areas since Q3 2007

There have been improvements in affordability in all Scottish LADs since 2007. Mortgage payments as a proportion of average earnings have fallen by at least 15% in 21 areas. East Dunbartonshire has seen the smallest change in mortgage affordability since 2007, falling 12.8% during that time.

The largest improvement in mortgage affordability was seen in Inverclyde where mortgage payments as a proportion of disposable earnings fell by 20.1% since 2007 (36.9% to 16.8%). Although they are two of the least affordable LADs in Scotland, East Lothian and Midlothian, were close behind, having both reduced by 18.2% over the same period.

Clear north / south divide

Mortgage payments are at their lowest as a proportion of disposable earnings in Scotland (19%), Northern Ireland (20%), North (23%) and Yorkshire and the Humber (23%) and the North West (24%).

Payments are highest in relation to earnings in Greater London (49%), the South East (41%) and the South West (34%). London is the only region where current rate is above its long-term average.

Low rates continue to keep mortgage affordability under control for first time buyers and homemovers alike

The proportion of disposable earnings devoted to mortgage payments by a first-time buyer in Scotland stood at 23%3 in 2016 Quarter 3; this is below the long-term average2 of 27%. This is a substantial improvement since 2007, when this figure reached a peak of 36%.

Record low mortgage rates have helped reduce this cost as a proportion of homemovers’ overall outgoings. In Quarter 4 2016, mortgage payments in Scotland accounted for 28%3 of homemovers’ disposable earnings – below the long-term average2 figure of 35%. This is a substantial improvement since the peak in 2007, when average mortgage outgoings accounted for 48% of homemovers’ disposable income.

Graham Blair, Mortgage Director at Bank of Scotland, commented: "Scottish homeowners have seen a decent improvement in housing affordability since 2007 as record falls in mortgage rates have offset higher house prices. As a result mortgage payments account for a lower proportion of disposable earnings than anywhere else in the UK.

The significant reduction in mortgage payments by a typical borrower has resulted mostly from record low rates that have provided monthly savings of, on average, around £225 when compared to payments in 2007.”



source http://blog.evolutionproperties.co.uk/2017/02/05/where-in-the-uk-has-the-best-mortgage-affordability/

Wednesday 1 February 2017

Superb Feedback

Well done team! Really nice to know that our efforts are all worth while!

"I have found Evolution an absolute pleasure to do business with. All staff have been exceptionally prompt in returning my calls and keeping me updated throughout the whole process. I am a first time landlord so naturally needed advice and support in helping me understand the buy to let process and management services. The staff at Evolution treated me as a valued customer and each of them were very professional. I would thoroughly recommend Evolution without any hesitation. Excellent service and competitive managed services rates in the industry."

Brilliant!!!



source http://blog.evolutionproperties.co.uk/2017/02/01/superb-feedback/